I. Introduction
The use of outer space is developing in two directions. On the
one hand, space technology is used in every corner of contemporary
human life; on the other hand, the world has experienced accelerating
steps of outer space militarization. The traditional military
use of outer space has spread from supportive roles such as communication,
navigation, reconnaissance, surveillance and early warning at
peacetime, to direct war fighting roles such as command &
control, warhead identifying, target positioning, bomb guiding,
etc. Even worse, outer space is facing an urgent danger of being
weaponized and of becoming a battlefield. Humankind is standing
at the crossroads of outer space application. The idea of concluding
a legal instrument to stop the dangerous military use is wining
more and more support and becoming an important step to realize
common security in outer space.
II. Challenges and hopes in regulating outer
space activities
To be frank, it is a tough issue to deal with outer space weaponization
by means of law. Since the 1980s, the international community
has experienced a series of frustration both multilaterally and
bilaterally. The end of the Cold War provides no impulse to PAROS
issue. The Ad Hoc Committee on PAROS has not been established
since 1995. There are at least three explanations to such kind
of situation:
Political obstacle. With the adjustment of SDI by the US and the
shift of focus on CTBT, outer space issue has been marginalized.
The re-emerged concern over outer space issue has been confronted
with the great change of the strategic framework after the Cold
War. The military super power is inclined to pursue security by
power rather than by arms control approach, the consideration
for military superiority overwhelmed the consideration for strategic
stability; the consideration for unilateral security outweighed
the consideration of common security.
Military temptation. Advanced technologies are always used first
in military field. Some military decision-makers deeply believe
that the control of outer space by one country means the acquirement
of multidimensional tactic and strategic military superiority.
They believe that outer space will finally be weaponized just
like sea and air space. With these beliefs in their mind, it is
understandable why arms control in outer space is so difficult.
Complexity of technology. Outer space is a medium different in
many aspects from land, sea and air space. The unique environment
and the development of relative technology are changing the traditional
ideas on weapon and the way of using force. The definition of
relative terms (such as outer space, outer space weapon, deploy,
test, use of force etc.) and verification of the future treaty
is complicated. This, in turn, will be an excuse for certain countries
to block the relative negotiation.
However, in spite of the political, military and technical challenges,
there are some decisive factors that will attract all parties,
including the developing and the developed, to negotiate a legal
instrument on outer space non-weaponization issue. For its unique
physical nature, outer space can not be owned by any individual
nation, a peaceful outer space will benefit all, and a weaponized
outer space will endanger the interest of all, especially for
the countries that rely on outer space assets most. In this outer
space era, no country, include the first one who introduce weapons
in outer space can be immune from the severe impact if outer space
is polluted by debris, all space assets, no matter civil and military,
will certainly be at high risk of being damaged.
III. The characteristics of space system
and space behavior
In the discussion of outer space non-weaponization, following
questions are frequently asked: What is outer space weapon? What
is weapon component or weapon system? How to deal with the earth-based
weapon with potential of countering space? What kind behaviours
could be regarded as use of force? What is the criterion of outer
space weaponization? In the environment of outer space, a generally
accepted answer can only be given after clarifying the characteristics
of space system and space behaviour.
First, most space systems have a dual use nature. It is generally
believed that any man made space object with manoeuvrable capability
has the potential to be used as weapons. Some space systems are
exclusively designed for war fighting, some systems for civil
purposes can be transferred for military or weapon uses at wartime.
Some space-based components that are supportive systems for civil
or general military purposes at peacetime can be used for war
fighting purposes. In addition to civil-military and general military-war
fighting dual use nature, there is also an earth-sky dual use
nature. Some earth-based weapons are designed exclusively for
outer space strike; some earth-based systems have the potential
of anti-satellite.
Second, the nature of outer space behaviours is also hard to define
in the environment of outer space. Like space weapon systems,
many behaviours have a dual use nature. Different definition may
lead to different legal implications. Take the use of force as
an example. The typical way of using force is to destroy something
by collision, explosion, or directed energy, but in outer space
environment, use of force may take exotic forms. Varieties of
non-traditional ways to impose harm on enemy¡¯s outer space assets
are currently being discussed, including de-orbiting, jamming,
curtaining and other soft killing measures that make space assets¡¯
function temporarily halted. If these non-violent behaviors are
conducted at peacetime, it is hard to determine whether military
strikes occurred or not. If yes, military reaction may be triggered;
if not, compensation for intentional or unintentional damages
should be compensated.
Understanding the above-mentioned characteristics of outer space
systems and behaviors is important for determining what systems
and activities should be prohibited, limited and permitted.
IV. A legal format for outer space non-weaponization
Law works by regulating behaviours and related matters. To stop
outer space weaponization, outer space behaviours and weapon systems
are two key elements to examine. Given the complexity of weapons
and behaviours related to outer space, it is appropriate to address
different situations with different legal norms. Prohibitive,
restrictive and permissive measures should be created respectively
for different systems and behaviours according to their relations
with outer space weaponization. Generally, for weapons designed
exclusively for outer space use and the obvious military action
of, in and from outer space, prohibitive norms should be applied.
For weapons with the potential of being used in outer space or
space systems with the potential of being used as weapon, or behaviours
with dual nature, restrictive measures should be imposed. Other
outer space systems that are designed exclusively for peaceful
use and ordinary military use, permissive norms should be applied.
In terms of behaviors, any form of force in space should be prohibited.
And some dangerous behaviours that may harm space assets of other
nations should be restricted as well.
V. Drawing lines: A comprehensive approach
or a partial one?
A critical question must be answered before drawing lines between
outer space weaponization and reasonable military uses, that is,
what kind of activities could be regarded as outer space weaponization?
Actually, a variety of systems and activities are in connection
with outer space weaponization. In deciding the spheres that future
legal instrument to cover, political acceptability, technical
feasibility must be taken into account. A balance between the
prohibited and the permitted items should be carefully addressed.
In this regard, there are two approaches that need to be discussed:
a comprehensive approach and a partial approach.
1. A comprehensive approach.
Any activities that may lead to weapon deployment or military
conflicts in space should be covered, including the activities
conducted on earth or in outer space, in the front stage of weapon
R&D, test, production, or in the hind stage of deployment
and use. It is not only a weapon ban, but also an activity ban.
Following items should be included.
A. Weapons and their components
Space-based weapons, including kinetic and directed energy weapons;
Earth-based weapons, including kinetic and directed energy anti
satellite weapons;
Earth-based weapons with counter space capability, including missile
defence systems;
Space-based weapon components, which are exclusively responsible
for target tracking£¬identifying, guiding and even striking, such
as laser reflector, SBIRS-low.
Space based weapon platforms, including spacecraft exclusively
designed for harbouring weapons or dual usable space vehicles.
B. Activities relating to outer space weaponization
Research and development of relative weapons;
Flight test of relative weapons;
Earth deployment of relative weapons;
Space deployment of relative weapons;
Use of force in or against outer space.
Obviously, this is an ideal but too ambitious solution
to outer space weaponization issues. There will be too many terms
and grey areas to be defined. Considering the contemporary political
and scientific conditions, to conclude such a comprehensive legal
instrument seems to be a time-consuming and long process.
The partial approach
Partial approach does not pursue a comprehensive ban of all outer
space weapons and related activities, it focuses on some areas
where breakthroughs can be easily made in stopping the urgent
danger of outer space weaponization.
One idea is a selective weapon ban with an indirect behaviour
ban. The idea of ASAT ban has been proposed in the early 1980s.
Proposals on space-based weapons ban are recent moves. One difficulty
with these moves may be the attempt to cover the whole process
of R&D, test, production, deployment and use of them, which
is just as difficult as the comprehensive approach to realize.
Moreover, for the causality between different weapon systems (especially
between space weapons and counter space weapons), it seems illogical
and impracticable to prohibit certain categories of weapons while
permitting others.
The selective behaviours ban is another solution. The working
paper entitled ¡°Possible Elements for a Future International Legal
Agreement on the Prevention of the Deployment of Weapons in Outer
Space, the Threat or Use of Force against Outer Space Objects¡±
(CD/1679), which was put forward jointly by China, Russia and
other 5 nations in 2002 is an attempt of this approach. According
to the paper, two key behaviours will be prohibited:
Deployment of weapon in outer space;
Use or threat use of force against outer space.
Different from the comprehensive approach, the Joint Working Paper
is carrying out an end-control strategy, holding the last line
in stopping outer space weaponization while temporarily putting
other things aside. The proposal is designed to slide over some
tough issues such as definition and verification. Considering
the current political and technical situation, the joint proposal
provides a practical solution to the current danger in outer space
weaponization.
Of course, the Joint Working Paper shouldn¡¯t be regarded as a
perfect one. It is rather an activity ban than a weapon ban. Neither
does it deal with the front stage of weaponization like weapon
research, development and test, nor does it provide detailed definition
of the term of use of force. Nevertheless, it covers the key points
of preventing outer space weaponization, meets the urgent needs,
and could serve as a platform to hold valuable proposals together.
Both China and Russia expressed that the proposal is open for
further development.
VI£®Conclusion
Regulating military activities in outer space is an issue involving
political and security concerns, and rests with economic affordability
and scientific feasibility. Faced with the coming danger of outer
space weaponization, many valuable proposals have been proposed.
Although each of them has its own perspective and emphases, most
of them deserve serious considerations so long as they are positive
steps toward the non-weaponization of outer space. Under the current
situation, the partial approach and behavior ban seem to be more
practical compared with the comprehensive approach and a weapon
ban.
Of course, there is no simple solution to the problem like outer
space issue that bears so much security and development interest
of nations. The development of science and technology brings challenge
to outer space issues, especially when law-making process is involved.
In space era, more and more countries will acquire capability
of entering outer space, more and more activities will be conducted
in outer space. Principally speaking, all countries have the equal
right to use and entering outer space, the prevention of outer
space weaponization is just a way to protect this right. This
is the fundamental driving force in promoting non-weaponization
of outer space, and the fact that there is no weapon in outer
space provides a window of opportunity for it.
Finally, it should be pointed out that no panacea exists in this
contemporary world. There are always issues that even law can
not solve. The spirit of self-restriction, mutual trust and cooperation
in the form of a code of conduct, confidence-building measures
are also important.