| 50
Years after Russell-Einstein Manifesto
And the New Challenges for the Pugwash Movement
MG. Pan Zhenqiang (retired)
Professor, National Defense University,
PLA, China And Council Member, the Pugwash Conferences
on Science and World Affairs
Beijing, August 19
This year sees the 50th anniversary of the signing of Russell-Einstein
Manifesto-one of the most significant and far-reaching political
documents ever produced in the Cold War. On July 9, 1955, precisely
over half a century ago, 11 world most eminent scientists (nine
of them at that time, and one more in subsequent years were Noble
laureates) announced through a statement at a press conference at
London that they as scientists, driven by the conscience for humanity
and the sense of responsibility for the security of mankind, urgently
drew to the attention the greatest danger that the international
community was facing, namely, the danger of nuclear weapons being
again used after the devastating bombing at Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
The Manifesto declared: ¡°In the tragic situation which confronts
humanity, we feel that scientists should assemble in conference
to appraise the perils that have arisen as a result of the development
of weapons of mass destruction.¡± The statement thus strongly called
on the scientists of the world and the general public to act and
seek a resolution. ¡°In view of the fact that in any future world
war nuclear weapons will certainly be employed, and that such weapons
threaten the continued existence of mankind¡±, the Manifesto urged
¡°the governments of the world to realize, and to acknowledge publicly
that their purpose cannot be furthered by a world war, and ¡ consequently,
to find peaceful means for the settlement of all matters of dispute
between them.¡±
The statement gained immediate worldwide attention It was widely
covered in newspapers around the world. ¡°Hundreds of letters and
cables, from individuals and groups, came pouring in from all over
the world, expressing approval and offering help.¡± The warm response
indicated that the statement ¡°had struck a sensitive chord in the
minds of the public.¡± Undoubtedly, the Manifesto became a catalyst
of the surge of peace and anti-nuclear movements organized by many
non-governmental organizations in the height of Cold War being played
out between the US and the former Soviet Union in 1950s, and has
since been playing an important role in mounting moral pressures
on the major powers, the two former superpowers in particular, in
seeking the avoidance of a nuclear war and maintenance of world
peace and stability.
But now that 50 years have passed, is this manifesto still relevant
to the security and peace of the world today? The answer is definitely
yes. In fact, facing the increasingly complex and uncertain world
situation, both the world governments and the public may perhaps
stand benefited more from getting inspirations from the 50-year
old document.
First of all, the prospect of the nuclear catastrophe caused by
the use of nuclear weapons as envisaged by the Manifesto has not
only still remained but seemed more complicated and harder to predict.
True, with the end of the Cold War and dismantling of the Soviet
Union, possibility of a head-on nuclear confrontation between major
powers is increasingly getting remote. The overwhelming majority
of the world nations seem still firm in their non-nuclear option,
preferring to be faithful member of the NPT. But the situation is
far from being rosy. 15 years have passed since the end of the Cold
War, there are still incredibly some 30,000 nuclear warheads in
the arsenals of nuclear weapon states, almost the same number of
these weapons when the NPT entered into force in 1970. The last
decade has been especially ¡°one of missed opportunities and a marked
deterioration in global security, not least regarding the nuclear
threat. In that time, additional states have acquired nuclear weapons,
there has been little tangible progress in nuclear disarmament,
new nuclear weapons are being proposed, and military doctrines are
being revised that place a greater reliance on the potential use
of such weapons.¡± As a result of all these trends, the world has
not escaped from a possible nuclear catastrophe by a nuclear war
since as long as nuclear weapons exist, they will one day be used.
But what could become an even more alarming danger looming ahead
is the newly emerged role of non-state actors, who seem to be both
the new source as well as the potential users of the nuclear material,
technology or know-how in nuclear proliferation. The international
community is facing a new and real danger of a nuclear weapon, or
a crude and dirty bomb falling into the hands of non-state actors
like international terrorists or even the organized crimes. The
scenario of an explosion of such a device in a certain big city,
killing hundreds of thousands of innocent people is not too far-fetched
but simply unacceptable to the world. This is a new threat indeed,
as the entire international nonproliferation regime had been dealing
with is only concerning the behavior of sovereign states.
Given the situation today, the following ringing remarks from the
Manifesto should carry special weight to the international efforts
to seek the effective way of maintaining peace and stability of
the world:
¡°Here, then, is the problem which we present to you, stark and dreadful
and inescapable: Shall we put an end to the human race; or shall
mankind renounce war?...There lies before us, if we choose, continual
progress in happiness, knowledge, and wisdom. Shall we, instead,
choose death, because we cannot forget our quarrels? We appeal as
human beings to human beings: Remember your humanity, and forget
the rest.¡±
Secondly, the Manifesto has highlighted the significance of an honest
scientist¡¯s social responsibility and conscience for the humanity
of mankind. Of these signatories of the document quite a few were
atomic scientists formally engaged in research on nuclear weapons
during the Second World War. They pioneered the weapons program
in the fear that Nazi Germany might acquire and use such weapons
before the Allies, thereby subject the world to the unimaginable
catastrophe. But when many of them learned that Hitler was unable
to produce such weapons, they either quit or were strongly opposed
to using the bombs for the scramble for military supremacy in international
politics. As the Manifesto stressed ¡°the men who know most are the
most gloomy¡±, these scientists have since become the staunch fighter
for nuclear disarmament and against the human folly of designing
the nuclear war.
In this context, two signatories are perhaps particularly worth
mentioning as fine examples of what an upright scientist should
be. One is Albert Einstein who was regarded the most eminent scientist
alive at that time, symbolizing the height of human intellect. But
he was also ¡°a realist and aware of what was going on in the world.
He was quite the opposite of what people think about scientists
- being absent-minded and immersed in their work and naive. He was
fully aware and trying to do something about it¡ [I]f he were still
alive, he would still be working on his theories. But he would be
working towards peace.¡± According to one description, Albert Einstein
took an early stand against the misuse of science for political
aims. When in October 1914 ninety-three German scientists signed
the Fulda manifesto, claiming that science should be at the service
of the fatherland and the military, he signed a counter manifesto
organized by G.E Nicolai which promoted internationalism and peace.
Thus it was no surprise that Einstein played a most critical role
in persuading the US government to start the Manhattan program but
when the Second World War was over, he immediately wrote the US
government, advising stopping developing and using nuclear weapons
as there was no longer legitimate justification for that purpose.
His suggestion was turned down and he became chairman of emergency
committee of Atomic Scientist in the US whose major mission was
to alert the public to the danger of the nuclear war and to raise
money to support anti-nuclear activities of scientists. When one
of his great friends Bertrand Russell wrote him about the idea of
the declaration, he immediately responded not only positively, but
also offering many insightful suggestions which helped put the Manifesto
into shape. A week after putting his signature on the declaration,
Einstein died. The document became his last act and dying wish,
imploring the nation governments not to let the world be destroyed
by human folly.
The other man who should also be particularly commended is Joseph
Rotblat. A Polish-born British, Rotblat, like Einstein, was initially
involved in the US nuclear program at Los Alamos. But after he learned
in 1944 that Germany had given up its nuclear program, he was the
only person who resigns from the US project on the moral ground.
Since then he has been devoted all his life to prevent another such
catastrophe like Hiroshima and Nagasaki and to go around and talk
to scientists in Britain about the dreadful effects of the atom
bomb, in spite of the difficult situation that he was labeled a
Soviet spy or ¡°traitor¡±. . He was also the chief organizer of the
Pugwash Conferences on Science and World Affairs in 1957, whose
main responsibility was to carry the message in the Manifesto into
action, namely, to reach across national, political, and cultural
divisions to bring together influential scientists and policy specialists
to find ways of reducing and eliminating the risk posed by conflict,
war and weapons of mass destruction, the nuclear weapons in particular.
I will come to Pugwash movement later. But to talk about Rotblat,
the experience in his long life has been indeed legendary worth
deep respect and admiration. At the age of 96, he is now the only
survivor of the signatories to both the Manifesto and the founding
document of Pugwash. ¡°For their efforts to diminish the part played
by nuclear arms in international politics, in the longer run to
eliminate such arms¡±, he and the Pugwash Conferences on Science
and World Affairs were jointly awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in
1995. As the ¡°godfather¡± of the Pugwash movement, he has never missed
each and every Pugwash annual conference since its beginning in
1957 except for the most recent one at Hiroshima in 2005 owing to
his senior age. Although he was absent from the 55th Pugwash annual
conference, he sent a written welcome speech, continuing to demonstrate
his vision, courage and honesty in search for a better world, and
call on the scientists to unite to contribute to this loft course.
He stressed:
¡°I am coming to believe that the time has come for Pugwash, while
not for a moment relinquishing its scientific integrity, to lay
the facts before the public. The end of the Cold War has led to
public complacency, but in fact the dangers of a nuclear conflict
are about as high as they have ever been¡I believe that we must
go beyond that, and seek to abolish war itself. This aim, intrinsic
to the Russell-Einstein Manifesto, will take us on a long hard road.
It does not necessarily mean pacifism as that is generally understood,
but it means choosing to seek a world with ¡®continual progress in
happiness and wisdom,¡¯ a world in which morality, law and mutual
respect govern the relations between nations, and no nation uses
military power to impose its will on others.¡±
The beliefs and actions of scientists of the older generation like
Einstein and Rotblat are particularly valuable and pertinent in
the struggle for the world peace and security today. Since the end
of the Cold War, many seem to take it for granted that the danger
of a nuclear war is increasingly reseeding. People seem indifferent
to the possible nuclear catastrophe. On the other hand, the current
rise of unilateralism, disdain to the norm in the international
relations, and war clamors as demonstrated in the policies of certain
major powers have greatly confused the publics. False accusations
and misinformation from the governments have often clouded the dangers
that the Manifesto had so urgently pointed out. Further, with the
growing material incentives offered to the scientific community
as a result of the rapid development of science and technology and
globalization, scientists seem less and less to think seriously
about their social responsibility for the humanity of mankind and
ethics in their research. It is thus high time to rethink the examples
these scientists has set for us. Here another ringing paragraph
by Rotblat is perhaps right to the point:
¡°At a time when science plays such a powerful role in the life of
society, when the destiny of the whole of mankind may hinge on the
results of scientific research, it is incumbent on all scientists
to be fully conscious of that role, and conduct themselves accordingly.
I appeal to my fellow scientists to remember their responsibility
to humanity.¡±
Last but not the least, the Manifesto has also provided important
inspirations to the international community for its current efforts
to define a sustained and effective approach to addressing the nuclear
danger in the future. In the first place, our founding fathers of
the document were not satisfied with only pointing out the danger
of a nuclear catastrophe, but calling on taking actions to avert
this danger. As Russell, another chief designer for the Manifesto,
pointed out:
¡°I find many people paralyzed by inability to think of anything
that could be done; and I do not think we should rest content with
pointing out the horrors of war, but should suggest practical steps
toward preventing it.¡±
During the process of deliberations for the statement, both Russell
and Einstein did try hard to include an action plan. The Manifesto
eventually ended up with a suggestion to call for a conference to
fulfill this need. It may be out of their expectations that the
idea of a conference has resulted in the fast spread of peace movement
the worldwide in the subsequent years.
The Manifesto has also made a unique contribution to the world peace
and security by advocating the linkage of the elimination of weapons
of mass destruction with the abolishment of war. The vision has
brought home the root cause of all the insecurities of the world
in the past as well as today.
But perhaps above all else, the Manifesto offered a new vision of
addressing the international issues through multilateral cooperation
and by peaceful means, which is still very relevant to our current
efforts to eliminating all the weapons of mass destruction. In this
regard, one cannot but help admire the wisdom of those scientists
of the older generation when they stressed the importance of inclusion
of people from a wide range of political and national perspectives
in order to achieve the purpose of preventing the nuclear disaster.
Ideological bias should not be an obstacle. The manifesto argued:
¡°Most of us are not neutral in feeling, but, as human beings, we
have to remember that, if the issues between East and West are to
be decided in any manner that can give any possible satisfaction
to anybody, whether Communist or anti-Communist, whether Asian or
European or American, whether White or Black then these issues must
not be decided by war. We should wish this t be understood, both
in the East and in the West.¡±
To further implement this new vision of achieving peace and security
through cooperation rather than confrontation and war among nations
which may have different values, both Einstein and Russell agreed
that the selection of the participants to the Manifesto itself should
symbolize this spirit. These scientists ¡°should be so diverse in
their politics that any statement signed by all of them would be
obviously free from pro-Communist or anti-Communist bias.¡± Thus,
of the 11 eminent scientists to sign the document, there were both
pro-Communists as well as anti-Communists. In his invitation to
Joliot-Curie to join the statement, Russell wrote emphatically to
hammer on his point: ¡°I am an anti-Communist, and it is precisely
because you are a Communist that I am anxious to work with you.¡±
In conclusion, the significance of the Manifesto lies in as much
a new vision offered to solve the international issues as the warning
of the danger of nuclear weapons and other weapons of mass destruction.
50 years have passed since the signing of the Manifesto, the world
is faced with much more complicated and diversified threats in the
post-Cold War era. And perhaps the nuclear war between major powers
is no longer the number one threats in the world as the statement
had predicted 50 years ago. But to solve all the present problems
that may bring the same devastating destruction to the mankind,
the Manifesto has contributed to a new security concept based on
the multilateral and cooperative approach. Situation may change.
Threats may emerge in different forms. Yet the guiding lines to
the solution of them as contained in the Manifesto are still very
valid and would never become outdated.
The Russell-Einstein Manifesto becomes the Pugwash Conferences'
founding charter. In 1957, scientists from both the East and the
West can together to hold the conference on science and world affairs
in accordiance with the guiding principles as reflected in the documents.
For over 48 years the organization has brought together, from around
the world, influential scholars and public figures concerned with
reducing the danger of armed conflict and seeking cooperative solutions
for global problems. Meeting in private as individuals, rather than
as representatives of governments or institutions, Pugwash participants
with divergent perspectives exchange views and explore alternative
approaches to arms control and tension reduction with a combination
of candor, continuity, and flexibility seldom attained in official
East-West and North-South discussions and negotiations. Yet, because
of the stature of many of the Pugwash participants in their own
countries (as, for example, science and arms-control advisers to
governments, key figures in academies of science and universities,
and former and future holders of high government office), insights
from Pugwash discussions tend to penetrate quickly to the appropriate
levels of official policy-making. Its inclusion of both Western
and Socialist countries in the Cold War marked a particular advance
and a brave demonstration of the independence of free minds.
From that beginning evolved both a continuing series of meetings
at locations all over the world -- with a growing number and diversity
of participants -- and a rather decentralized organizational structure
to coordinate and finance this activity. By late 2002, there have
been over 275 Pugwash Conferences, Symposia, and Workshops, with
a total attendance of over 10,000 (there are now in the world over
3500 "Pugwashites", namely individuals who have attended
a Pugwash meeting and are hence considered associated with Pugwash
and receive our newsletter). A basic rule is that participation
is always by individuals in their private capacity (not as representatives
of governments or organizations).
It is because of this unique contribution to the world peace and
security, the organization was rewarded Nobel Peace Price together
with Rotblat in 1995 as I mentioned earlier. The Pugwash Conferences
on Science and World Affairs has become the most influential peace
movement in the world.
At present, averting the disaster rendered by weapons of mass destruction
(the nuclear weapons in particular) remains the central focus of
Pugwash efforts. But to keep with time of change, the organization
has spent increasing attention to the regional security as well
as human security issues involving environmental, energy, equitable
access to food, water, healthcare, education, and economic opportunity,
etc, that are mostly related to the developing countries. These
are all understandable as part of Russell-Einstein Manifesto's overarching
problem-the idea of abolishing the war and establishing anew international
order. It is to be expected that based on 48 years of experience
in building trust among those in conflict, and with more than 50
national groups around the world, Pugwash will continue all this
important work in the future.
In the meantime, as the international community is entering a more
pluralistic, interdependent and uncertain world, Pugwash is confronted
with new challenges that call for a need to adjust its strategy
and adapt to the new situation. To put them in more general terms,
these challenges may be summarized as the following:
First, while nuclear danger continues to be a threat that people
cannot afford to neglect, the cause of the possible use of nuclear
weapons was much more complicated than the time when Russell-Einstein
Manifesto was produced. One eminent American specialist rightly
pointed out that
¡°All are still equally in peril, but the peril is radically different
and infinitely more difficult to confront. In fact, the choice between
war and peace alone is inadequate to the task if peace brings continued
indifference or acquiescence to the economic, political, religious
and cultural issues that give rise to terrorism.¡±
Given the situation, Pugwash needs perhaps to strike a balance in
its future multidimensional work in the future, namely, a balance
between maintaining focus on nuclear matters on the one hand and
on many other issues, the solutions of which may well be essential
to the peace and security of the world on the other. The two are
not necessarily in conflict, but will pose problems for Pugwash
of overstretching and losing its own identity if not kept in good
proportion.
Secondly, Pugwash needs a strategy to better reach out the public
and to enhance the awareness of the average people of the danger
caused by weapons of mass destruction and the role that they can
play in preventing the threat. The Pugwash Conferences on Science
and World Affairs are first and foremost an organization of scientists.
And scientists have a shared frame of reference and speak the same
language across ideological, religious or national dividing lines.
Thus it is the unique strength that Pugwash has. Through communicating
to the public, Pugwash can offer its objective and scientific assessment
of the harmful consequences of scientific discoveries and wrong
policies of the governments. To a great extent, all of these efforts
hinge on the ability of public relations of Pugwash so to speak.
That requires a lot of more work for the organization. In this connection,
one of the most essential challenges is if Pugwash is able to encourage
various national groups each to better play its role in mobilizing
the national resources for the accomplishment of Pugwash tasks.
Another important challenge is whether Pugwash is able to have better
channels to reach the scientific communities as well as national
governments of the developing countries while continuing to drawing
support from the developed countries.
Lastly, Pugwash needs also to overcome a generation problem. Our
¡°Pugwashites¡± of older generation has contributed so much to the
work of Pugwash. But owing to the law of metabolism, many of them
are now phasing out each year. Thus it is natural that Pugwash will
be experiencing a transitional process not only in its leadership,
but also the main body of the participants. This requires more participation
of the young scientists who will carry on the spirit of the Manifesto
and fine traditions of Pugwash. Fortunately, the current leadership
of Pugwash has attached importance to the task and made great efforts
to accomplish the job. But of course much more still needs to be
done in this field in the future.
PS: Barely one week after this small piece was finished I sadly
learned that Sir Joseph Rotblat died on August 31, 2001. Pugwash
has lost a friend, mentor and moral touchstone. The whole international
community has lost a staunch fighter for peace and security. As
a personal friend and student of Jo, no words can express my deep
sorrow and condolence for this great loss. But I believe the best
way to remember him is to carry on the fighting spirit of Rotblat
for a world free of all weapons of mass destruction, free of war
and free of all evils. I believe that is exactly what Pugwash is
going to do in the future. As the statement of the Council of Pugwash
in memory of Sir Joseph Rotblat stressed:
¡°Inspired by Jo, Pugwash has continued to grow, with representation
today in more than 50 countries around the world, and with active
involvement in precisely those conflict areas where the risk of
nuclear weapons use is greatest¡It will continue to strive for those
ideals so wonderfully and eloquently articulated by Jo throughout
his lifetime. We may have lost his companionship, humor and intellectual
guidance, but we will never lose his steadfast sense of purpose
in knowing the right thing to do.¡±
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